(photo from Metro)
(photo from Metro)

VAN WERT – Van Wert County EMA director/weather specialist Rick McCoy recently studied a comparison of spring weather across the county for the past several years and what he discovered was rather disgruntling.

The pattern he discovered that was most similar to this spring was that of 2012, the summer of the great drought and heat wave.

“I’m not saying it’s going to be that way. Weather patterns can change overnight,” said McCoy. “I’m just saying that there were several spring pattern similarities between that late spring and this late spring.”

“The thing that troubles me the most is when searing 90 degree weather makes its way into the area in May such as we had a couple of weeks ago,” said McCoy. “The timing and similarity of the two hot spells between 2012 and May of 2018 was quite similar.”

McCoy said that many long-range forecasts the past couple of weeks have indicated a gradual nationwide warming trend that could become quite intense in July.

“The rest of June is likely to be warmer than normal with high variability of rainfall but tendency to above normal rainfall,” said McCoy.

Jim Noel, representing the Ohio State University Extension service weather predictions, said that it appears a heat dome will be centered in the south central United States this summer with periods where it shifts over the corn and soybean belt and Ohio Valley.

“The next surge of heat is anticipated to come into this part of the Midwest this weekend or early next week,” said Noel. “With these surges come ring of fire storms around the heat dome leading to locally heavy rainfall. However, that rain will be scattered in nature.

“It also appears tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico later this week will combine with a tropical system from the eastern Pacific Ocean and come around the heat dome by next week into the Ohio Valley enhancing rainfall at the time,” added Noel.

The outlook for July is for the above normal temperatures to remain but with a drier rainfall picture at the time, added Noel.

“I have a feeling that in July we will be thankful for every drop of earlier rain that soaked in the ground,” said McCoy.

Noel added that rainfall for the next two weeks will average 1-4 inches with normal being near two inches. Isolated totals of greater than four inches and less than an inch can be expected, he said.